The second phase of voting for Bihar's 2025 Assembly Elections has wrapped up, and initial exit polls suggest a strong performance by the National Democratic Alliance (NDA). Forecasts indicate that the NDA could secure between 130 and 160 seats in the assembly, giving them a clear majority. In contrast, the Mahagathbandhan (Grand Alliance), which had promised significant changes, is predicted to win only 70 to 100 seats.
Several prominent polling agencies have released their projections: Dainik Bhaskar anticipates the NDA will capture 145 to 160 seats, while the Mahagathbandhan might land between 73 to 91 seats. People's Insight predicts a narrower margin, estimating the NDA at 133 to 148 seats and the Mahagathbandhan at 87 to 102 seats, with minor parties like the Jan Suraaj Party expected to secure 0 to 2 seats.
From a broader perspective, all exit polls consistently signal a significant edge for the NDA, establishing them as the frontrunners in the electoral race. The DVC Research survey corroborates these findings, estimating NDA seat wins at 137 to 152, with Mahagathbandhan falling behind at 83 to 98 seats and other parties expected to clinch between 4 to 8 additional seats.
Understanding how exit polls work can provide clarity amidst these predictions. Exit polls are typically conducted as voters exit polling booths, where researchers from various agencies ask them about their voting choices. The data is then collected from a representative sample across different constituencies, and statistical analysis is performed to forecast potential results prior to the official vote counting process.
Overall, the exit polls reveal a significant outlook for the NDA as they head into the final stages of the election. This clarity around public sentiment could impact the political strategies of the competing parties as they prepare for the results announcement.
