Indian Stock Market Gains Amid Positive Economic News

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The Indian stock market, represented by the Nifty 50 and Sensex indices, showed gains driven by optimistic trade discussions with the U.S. and favorable exit polls from Bihar's elections. The Nifty 50 rose by 0.75%, while the Sensex climbed by 0.76%. Analysts highlight critical resistance and support levels for future market movements, suggesting investment in stocks like TCS, Bajaj Auto, and Jindal Steel. Despite encouraging signs, caution is advised due to potential market fluctuations.

On Wednesday, both the Nifty 50 and Sensex, India's principal stock indices, exhibited an upward trend bolstered by positive developments in trade conversations with the United States and optimism regarding a potential resolution of an impending government shutdown. This positive sentiment was further amplified by the release of exit polls from Bihar's state elections, which suggest a probable victory for the ruling coalition in India. By 11:31 IST, the Nifty 50 index rose by 0.75% to reach 25,887.65, while the BSE Sensex saw an increase of 0.76%, standing at 84,507.49, marking a recovery following an uptick of about 0.5% from the previous trading session. Market analysts believe that the interlinked prospects of a favourable trade agreement with the U.S. and the promising exit poll results have fostered an optimistic atmosphere; however, they caution that this may not suffice to trigger a sustained rally in the markets. The Nifty 50 has notably bounced back from lower levels, reaffirming that the 25,300 mark serves as a critical support level in the near term. Currently, it has closed below the 25,700 threshold, where both a significant call base and a downtrend line resistance intersect. If the Nifty 50 breaks past 25,750, it may test the 26,000 mark, which also represents a strong resistance point. Meanwhile, the Nifty IT and Nifty Energy sectors exhibit some short positions that, if rectified, could further propel the Nifty 50 upwards. The Nifty Bank index has demonstrated remarkable performance and is expected to continue on this trajectory. A significant put base exists at the 58,000 and 58,500 strikes; if the index surpasses 58,500, it could ascend towards 60,000, thereby assisting the Nifty 50 in overcoming the 26,000 level. Despite foreign institutional investors (FIIs) typically acting as net sellers in the November series, potential short covering from them may initiate a rally akin to the one observed in October. The India VIX indicated initial volatility on account of short covering but has seen a struggle to decline due to fresh short buildups. If it breaks above the 13 levels, it could signal a deeper correction, while continuing upward trends may correlate with short-covering activity, providing a mitigated concern. Overall, the critical levels to watch are 25,750 for the Nifty 50 and 58,500 for the Nifty Bank, both of which will influence further momentum in the market. Stock recommendations for the near term include TCS Futures, Bajaj Auto Futures, and Jindal Steel Futures. Analysts suggest buying TCS Futures within the range of ₹3,050-3,070 with a stop loss set at ₹2,980 and targets at ₹3,130 and ₹3,170. Despite the Nifty IT sector facing challenges, a recent recovery suggests the potential for upward movement. For Bajaj Auto Futures, buy within the range of ₹8,880-8,910, with a stop loss at ₹8,790 and targets of ₹9,020 and ₹9,080. The strong Q2 results bode well for the stock, which has ample room for potential short covering. Lastly, buying Jindal Steel Futures in the ₹1,070-1,090 range, with a stop loss at ₹1,040 and targets between ₹1,140 and ₹1,170, is also advised as the metal sector is showing strong upward trends following prior corrections, indicating positive potential. Investors should independently assess market conditions before making any decisions, as circumstances might shift rapidly.

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